Transaction database
At the heart of vdpResearch's activities is a transaction database that is unique in Germany. Around 600 banks now submit transaction data from their real estate financing business every quarter. In addition to the purchase price and purchase date, the data includes information on the property's macro and micro location, its age and features, and other price-influencing variables.
Monitoring
Since 2007, vdpResearch's monitoring service has tracked price developments in Germany's real estate markets as a continuous market observation system. The monitoring provides representative oversight of property values in accordance with Article 208 (3) of the Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR).
Real estate price indices
vdpResearch regularly publishes transaction-based rent and price indices covering developments in Germany's real estate markets. Fifteen sub-indices are produced every quarter, covering the most important segments of the German real estate market.
Real estate forecasts
vdpResearch forecasts developments in residential and commercial real estate markets in Germany and abroad. Its structural-model-based forecasts are highly differentiated by region and subject. For example, rents, prices, new construction activity and the degree of market tightness are forecast for different market segments.
LGD Grading
vdpExpertise's LGD Grading is a supervisory-recognised procedure for determining the most important parameters used to estimate loss given default (LGD) for commercial and residential real estate. It enables classified, property-specific determination of recovery rates and workout periods.
Market classification and geo-analysis
To assess regional market risks, vdpResearch regularly classifies Germany's regional markets for different property types. The classifications are based on a very comprehensive regional market database. Depending on the question, mathematical and statistical methods are used to analyse the information it contains and condense it into indicators.
Property Value
vdpResearch determines discounts for calculating a Property Value on the basis of market value. The amended CRR introduces significant changes to real estate valuation. The previous option between market value and mortgage lending value anchored in Article 229 CRR is replaced by Property Value as the sole value concept for preferential capital treatment.
vdp and vdpResearch have developed a discount method that can be applied to market value. The basic idea is to break down a property price time series into trend and cycle components. Property Value, as a prudent sustainable value that disregards price exaggerations, is capped at the long-term trend. Cyclical components, meaning short-term market exaggerations, are filtered out using an adjustment mechanism.
vdpKommunalScore
vdpKommunalScore is a scorecard model for assessing the financial strengths and weaknesses of all municipalities in Germany. By analysing selected indicators, it gives lenders immediately available support for the economic assessment of more than 12,000 regional authorities in the Federal Republic of Germany.